Is JPMorgan Chase Stock a Buy? | The Motley Fool (2024)

The bank stock has gained 45% since November. Is it too late to buy?

Over the years, JPMorgan Chase (JPM 1.93%) has solidified its position as one of the best-run banks in the U.S. Over the past decade-and-a-half, JPMorgan has thrived despite a challenging operating environment for banks that included multiple recessions and a decade of ultra-low interest rates, followed by the recent era of rapidly rising rates.

Since November, JPMorgan Chase stock has gained about 45% and is priced at the higher end of its historical averages. If you're considering buying JPMorgan stock today, here's what you need to know first.

JPMorgan Chase is prepared for whatever is thrown at it

JPMorgan Chase has $3.4 trillion in total assets, making it the largest bank in the U.S. It has 34% more assets than its closest competitor, Bank of America, and nearly twice as many assets as the third-largest bank, Wells Fargo.

This growth didn't happen overnight. JPMorgan has a long history of prudent capital management, allowing it to capitalize during downturns and grow alongside the U.S. economy when things are going well. One part of its success is the leadership of Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer since 2006.

Dimon led JPMorgan through the Great Recession from late-2007 to mid-2009, which saw some of the largest bank failures in U.S. history. When Washington Mutual went under in 2008, JPMorgan Chase's prudence put it in a position to acquire the bank's assets for $1.9 billion.

JPMorgan has long taken a patient approach to putting its capital to work. For example, during the pandemic, banks were flush with deposits as economic stimulus funds hit bank accounts, and personal savings rose to record levels as consumer spending slowed amid shutdowns.

Is JPMorgan Chase Stock a Buy? | The Motley Fool (1)

Image source: Getty Images.

Many banks used this inflow of deposits to invest heavily in mortgage-backed securities or other loans despite the record-low interest rates at the time. Not JPMorgan. In early 2021, inflation was beginning to pick up, and Dimon told investors that the bank would look to protect the "fat tails," or the extreme risks outside of the norm, of rising inflation.

At the time, Dimon was concerned about accelerating inflation and rising interest rates, and sought to make the bank a "port of safety" for whatever storm may be on the horizon. The company effectively hoarded cash and patiently waited to put its capital to work.

That decision has paid off, reinforcing JPMorgan as one of the best-run banks in the U.S. Not only was it able to make loans at higher interest rates, but it was also well positioned amid the regional banking crisis last year. First Republic Bank, with $212 billion in assets, became the second-largest bank failure ever, and it was JPMorgan Chase that was best positioned to acquire its assets when the time came.

JPMorgan Chase is in a class of its own

JPMorgan is on firm financial footing and sits on a fortress balance sheet, which is evident when you compare its capital ratios to those of its peers.

One metric used in banking is the common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio. The CET1 compares a bank's capital to its assets and shows how well it could absorb a financial shock. In the first quarter, JPMorgan's CET1 ratio came in about 15%, outpacing its peers, Bank of America (11.9%), Citigroup (13.5%), and Wells Fargo (11.2%).

Another key measure to evaluate banks is the return on tangible common equity (ROTCE). This metric shows how well a bank can generate earnings from its tangible common equity. In the first quarter, JPMorgan's ROTCE was 21%, compared to 12.7% at Bank of America, 7.6% at Citigroup, and 12.3% at Wells Fargo.

This outperformance has earned JPMorgan Chase stock a premium valuation compared to its peers. Today, the stock is valued at 2.39 times the bank's tangible book value, well above its peers and its 10-year average of 1.86.

Is JPMorgan Chase Stock a Buy? | The Motley Fool (2)

JPM Price to Tangible Book Value data by YCharts

Is JPMorgan Chase stock a buy?

After its run-up during the past several months, JPMorgan Chase sits on the more expensive side of its valuation, which could limit its upside potential in the near term.

Despite this, JPMorgan is one of the most efficient banks at generating profits, and prudent capital management history helps it ride out and thrive across economic cycles, making it an excellent choice for investors taking a long-term approach.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Wells Fargo is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Bank of America is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Courtney Carlsen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Is JPMorgan Chase Stock a Buy? | The Motley Fool (2024)

FAQs

Is JPM stock a good buy now? ›

JPMorgan Chase & Co. has 8.58% upside potential, based on the analysts' average price target. Is JPM a Buy, Sell or Hold? JPMorgan Chase & Co. has a consensus rating of Strong Buy which is based on 17 buy ratings, 5 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings.

What are the 10 stocks the Motley Fool recommends? ›

See the 10 stocks »

Mark Roussin, CPA has positions in AbbVie, Alphabet, Coca-Cola, Microsoft, Prologis, and Visa. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Chevron, Home Depot, Microsoft, NextEra Energy, Prologis, and Visa.

What is the 5 year forecast for J.P. Morgan stock? ›

JPMorgan Chase stock price stood at $197.00

According to the latest long-term forecast, JPMorgan Chase price will hit $200 by the end of 2024 and then $250 by the end of 2025. JPMorgan Chase will rise to $300 within the year of 2027, $350 in 2029, $400 in 2030, $450 in 2032 and $500 in 2034.

Is JPM a good dividend stock? ›

(JPM) is a Finance stock that has seen a price change of 17.3% so far this year. Currently paying a dividend of $1.15 per share, the company has a dividend yield of 2.31%. In comparison, the Banks - Major Regional industry's yield is 3.54%, while the S&P 500's yield is 1.58%.

What is the market outlook for J.P. Morgan in 2024? ›

In 2024, J.P. Morgan Research estimates 2–3% earnings growth for the S&P 500 and a price target of 4,200.

What are Motley Fool's double down stocks? ›

The Motley Fool advises holding onto winning stocks, as they often continue to outperform in the long run. "Double down buy alerts" from The Motley Fool signal strong confidence in a stock, urging investors to increase their holdings.

What are Motley Fool's 5 top AI stocks you can buy right now? ›

The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and UiPath. The Motley Fool recommends Alibaba Group and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft.

Why invest in JP Morgan stock? ›

Why JPMorgan Stock is an Attractive Bet. Earnings Growth: JPMorgan witnessed earnings growth of 12.5% in the past three to five years, which is higher than the industry average of 6.1%. The uptrend is expected to continue in the near term. For 2023, we project the company's earnings to grow 24.8%.

What is the average investor return for JP Morgan? ›

The "art" side of investing can be challenging because it's driven by behavior and emotions. From 2001 - 2020, the S&P 500 has returned 7.5%. However, according to research by JP Morgan, the average investor has achieved only 2.9% in returns in that same time period.

What will JP Morgan stock price be in 2025? ›

JPMorgan Chase & Co stock forecast for 2025: $ 220.37 (11.86%) JPMorgan Chase & Co stock prediction for 2030: $ 385.96 (95.92%)

Should I buy JPM stock now? ›

The financial health and growth prospects of JPM, demonstrate its potential to underperform the market. It currently has a Growth Score of F. Recent price changes and earnings estimate revisions indicate this would be a good stock for momentum investors with a Momentum Score of A.

Does Warren Buffett recommend dividend stocks? ›

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway BRK. A BRK. B doesn't intentionally buy dividend-paying stocks, but the firm favors financially strong companies with significant competitive advantages run by managers who thoughtfully allocate capital.

Is JPM undervalued? ›

What is the Intrinsic Value of one JPM stock? The intrinsic value of one JPM stock under the Base Case scenario is 221.42 USD. Is JPM stock undervalued or overvalued? Compared to the current market price of 193.78 USD, JPMorgan Chase & Co is Undervalued by 12%.

Is J.P. Morgan a good place to invest money? ›

Yes. J.P. Morgan Self-Directed Investing is a registered broker with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), and investments on the platform are covered through SIPC for up to $500,000 in cash and securities, including up to $250,000 in cash.

What will J.P. Morgan stock price be in 2025? ›

JPMorgan Chase & Co stock forecast for 2025: $ 220.37 (11.86%) JPMorgan Chase & Co stock prediction for 2030: $ 385.96 (95.92%)

Is JPM a hold? ›

Currently, the analyst consensus on JPMorgan Chase & Co. is a Strong Buy with an average price target of $213.91, which is a 10.6% upside from current levels.

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